000 FOPZ15 KNHC 101431 PWSEP5 HURRICANE LIDIA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152023 1500 UTC TUE OCT 10 2023 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LIDIA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLAS MARIAS 34 32 2(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) MAZATLAN 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN BLAS 34 32 30(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) X(62) SAN BLAS 50 2 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) SAN BLAS 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) P VALLARTA 34 91 7(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) P VALLARTA 50 13 56(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) P VALLARTA 64 4 27(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 65 4(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) X(69) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BARRA NAVIDAD 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) MANZANILLO 34 40 7(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) L CARDENAS 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI