840 FOPZ15 KNHC 061448 PWSEP5 HURRICANE DORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 25 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052023 1500 UTC SUN AUG 06 2023 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 140.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 120 KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 145W 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 145W 34 1 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 10N 150W 34 X 1( 1) 8( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 15N 150W 34 X 1( 1) 10(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 10(11) 8(19) X(19) X(19) 15N 155W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 10N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 22(22) 1(23) X(23) 10N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 10N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 15N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 2(27) X(27) 15N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 10N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 14(16) X(16) 10N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 10N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 15N 165W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 37(40) X(40) 15N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) 15N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) X( 7) JOHNSTON ISL 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 7(22) JOHNSTON ISL 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) JOHNSTON ISL 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 10N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) 10N 170W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 15N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36(36) 23(59) 15N 170W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 17(28) 15N 170W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 10N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 15N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 55(56) 15N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 15N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 20N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) $$ FORECASTER D. ZELINSKY