000 FOPZ15 KNHC 040237 PWSEP5 HURRICANE DORA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052023 0300 UTC FRI AUG 04 2023 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE DORA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 123.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 120 KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 125W 34 25 1(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) 10N 130W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 15N 130W 34 X 16(16) 27(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) X(43) 15N 130W 50 X 2( 2) 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 15N 130W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 10N 135W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 33(36) 4(40) X(40) X(40) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 10N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 1(18) X(18) 10N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 33(34) 1(35) X(35) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 15N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 10N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20(23) X(23) 10N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) 10N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 26(31) X(31) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) X(10) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) 10N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 7(25) 10N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) 10N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 25(25) 7(32) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) 15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 35(36) 15N 155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) 15N 155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 15N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 15(15) 15N 160W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15N 160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) $$ FORECASTER BERG