000 FOPZ15 KNHC 312038 PWSEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052023 2100 UTC MON JUL 31 2023 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 105W 34 29 X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) 15N 110W 34 X 11(11) 30(41) 1(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) 15N 110W 50 X X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 15N 110W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) 10N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 115W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 55(57) 26(83) X(83) X(83) 15N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) 21(21) 23(44) 1(45) X(45) 15N 115W 64 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 13(20) X(20) X(20) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 10N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) X( 8) 15N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 61(62) 15(77) 1(78) 15N 120W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 16(44) 1(45) 15N 120W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 12(24) X(24) 10N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 4(16) 10N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 10N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 15N 125W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 49(50) 6(56) 15N 125W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 5(26) 15N 125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) 10N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 10N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 10N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15N 130W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 39(42) 15N 130W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 15N 130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 10N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) $$ FORECASTER PAPIN