000 FOPZ15 KNHC 151443 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP202019 1500 UTC FRI NOV 15 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM RAYMOND WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC STANDARD TIME (PST)...SUBTRACT 8 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 18(21) X(21) X(21) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 11(12) X(12) X(12) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 110W 34 42 16(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) X(58) 15N 110W 50 4 9(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 20N 110W 34 X 3( 3) 8(11) 31(42) 4(46) X(46) X(46) 20N 110W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) 20N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 6( 7) 28(35) 13(48) 1(49) X(49) X(49) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY