843 FOPZ15 KNHC 030850 PWSEP5 HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102018 0900 UTC FRI AUG 03 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 90 KTS...105 MPH...165 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 130W 34 28 39(67) 1(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) 15N 130W 50 1 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 15N 130W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 10N 135W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 15N 135W 34 X 1( 1) 39(40) 39(79) 3(82) X(82) X(82) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 33(38) 2(40) X(40) X(40) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) 10N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 73(76) 8(84) X(84) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 44(44) 11(55) 1(56) 15N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 9(36) X(36) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 10N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 64(66) 6(72) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 38(38) 6(44) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 21(21) 6(27) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 40(45) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 17(17) 15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY