820 FOPZ15 KNHC 021425 PWSEP5 HURRICANE HECTOR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102018 1500 UTC THU AUG 02 2018 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HECTOR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 125W 34 77 X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) 10N 130W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 15N 130W 34 X 36(36) 52(88) 1(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) 15N 130W 50 X 2( 2) 47(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) 15N 130W 64 X X( X) 24(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) 10N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) X(10) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 30(33) 43(76) X(76) X(76) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 33(39) X(39) X(39) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) X(19) X(19) 10N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 1(14) 10N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 10N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 26(26) 37(63) 1(64) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 27(32) X(32) 15N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 16(18) X(18) 10N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 7(13) 10N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 10N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 34(61) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 25(35) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 10N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE