000 FOPZ15 KNHC 050253 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM NEWTON WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152016 0300 UTC MON SEP 05 2016 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NEWTON WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 105.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT YUMA AZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) P ABREOJOS 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 12(16) 1(17) X(17) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X 4( 4) 59(63) 20(83) 1(84) X(84) X(84) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) 21(21) 21(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 X X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X 4( 4) 56(60) 21(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) 18(18) 22(40) X(40) X(40) X(40) SAN JOSE CABO 64 X X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) LA PAZ 34 X 2( 2) 20(22) 49(71) 4(75) X(75) X(75) LA PAZ 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 28(30) 3(33) X(33) X(33) LA PAZ 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LORETO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 24(27) 33(60) X(60) X(60) LORETO 50 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 14(18) X(18) X(18) LORETO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 3(11) X(11) HERMOSILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 30(32) 3(35) X(35) HERMOSILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) HERMOSILLO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 35(37) 2(39) X(39) BAHIA KINO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) BAHIA KINO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 41(46) 1(47) X(47) GUAYMAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 14(14) X(14) X(14) GUAYMAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HUATABAMPO 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 9(12) 24(36) 1(37) X(37) HUATABAMPO 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HUATABAMPO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) LOS MOCHIS 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 16(22) 9(31) X(31) X(31) LOS MOCHIS 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CULIACAN 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 4(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) ISLAS MARIAS 34 1 16(17) 5(22) 1(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) MAZATLAN 34 X 4( 4) 6(10) 1(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) SAN BLAS 34 1 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) P VALLARTA 34 1 7( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 3 5( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) MANZANILLO 34 2 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 110W 34 X 19(19) 18(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) 20N 110W 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 5( 5) 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 25N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER BERG