000 FOPZ15 KNHC 150853 PWSEP5 HURRICANE ODILE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152014 0900 UTC MON SEP 15 2014 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ODILE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT YUMA AZ 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) ENSENADA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) P ABREOJOS 34 13 62(75) 7(82) 1(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) P ABREOJOS 50 2 21(23) 14(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) P ABREOJOS 64 X 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAN JOSE CABO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAN JOSE CABO 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAN JOSE CABO 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LA PAZ 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LA PAZ 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LA PAZ 64 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LORETO 34 84 11(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) LORETO 50 19 33(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) X(52) LORETO 64 2 9(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) P PENASCO 34 X 4( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) 5(13) 1(14) X(14) HERMOSILLO 34 4 7(11) 5(16) 1(17) 1(18) 1(19) X(19) BAHIA KINO 34 5 20(25) 11(36) 2(38) 1(39) X(39) X(39) BAHIA KINO 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) GUAYMAS 34 8 22(30) 4(34) X(34) X(34) 1(35) X(35) GUAYMAS 50 1 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) HUATABAMPO 34 17 10(27) 2(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) HUATABAMPO 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 24 4(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) CULIACAN 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) MAZATLAN 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER BROWN