000 FOPZ15 KNHC 232035 PWSEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 36 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007 2100 UTC TUE OCT 23 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 181N 1162W 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 12 181N 1162W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 12 181N 1162W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 182N 1183W 34 X 6( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 24 182N 1183W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 182N 1183W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 183N 1203W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 36 183N 1203W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 183N 1203W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 190N 1225W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 48 190N 1225W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 190N 1225W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 20 20 20 20 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI