000 FOPZ15 KNHC 231434 PWSEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 35 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007 1500 UTC TUE OCT 23 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 185N 1148W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 12 185N 1148W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12 185N 1148W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 185N 1175W 34 X 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 24 185N 1175W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 185N 1175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 190N 1195W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) 36 190N 1195W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 190N 1195W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 195N 1215W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 48 195N 1215W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 195N 1215W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 215N 1235W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 72 215N 1235W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 215N 1235W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 20 20 20 20 20 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER AVILA