000 FOPZ15 KNHC 230831 PWSEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 34 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007 0900 UTC TUE OCT 23 2007 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 3 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 189N 1142W 34 5 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 12 189N 1142W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 12 189N 1142W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 189N 1167W 34 X 9( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 24 189N 1167W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 189N 1167W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 190N 1189W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) 36 190N 1189W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 190N 1189W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 194N 1209W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 48 194N 1209W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 194N 1209W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 210N 1235W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 72 210N 1235W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 210N 1235W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 25 25 20 20 20 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN