000 FOPZ15 KNHC 230234 PWSEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 33 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007 0300 UTC TUE OCT 23 2007 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLA CLARION 34 X 7( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 192N 1125W 34 15 4(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) 12 192N 1125W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 12 192N 1125W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 191N 1149W 34 X 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) 24 191N 1149W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 191N 1149W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 190N 1170W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 36 190N 1170W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 190N 1170W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 195N 1190W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 48 195N 1190W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 195N 1190W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 205N 1215W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 72 205N 1215W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 205N 1215W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 25 20 20 20 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BROWN