000 FOPZ15 KNHC 222033 PWSEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 32 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007 2100 UTC MON OCT 22 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 11 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) ISLA CLARION 34 X 3( 3) 6( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 193N 1112W 34 13 5(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 12 193N 1112W 50 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 12 193N 1112W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 192N 1136W 34 X 9( 9) 2(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 24 192N 1136W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 192N 1136W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 191N 1160W 34 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 36 191N 1160W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 191N 1160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 193N 1180W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) 48 193N 1180W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 193N 1180W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 205N 1210W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 72 205N 1210W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 205N 1210W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 25 25 20 20 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME