000 FOPZ15 KNHC 221435 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 31 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007 1500 UTC MON OCT 22 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 2 6( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ISLA CLARION 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 198N 1100W 34 34 4(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) 12 198N 1100W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 12 198N 1100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 198N 1122W 34 X 14(14) 5(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) 24 198N 1122W 50 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 198N 1122W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 199N 1145W 34 X 1( 1) 11(12) 3(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16) 36 199N 1145W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 199N 1145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 202N 1167W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 6( 9) 2(11) X(11) X(11) 48 202N 1167W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 202N 1167W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 215N 1205W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 72 215N 1205W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 215N 1205W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 30 30 25 20 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME