000 FOPZ15 KNHC 220832 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 30 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007 0900 UTC MON OCT 22 2007 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 7( 8) 4(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 198N 1089W 34 61 4(65) X(65) X(65) 1(66) X(66) X(66) 12 198N 1089W 50 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 12 198N 1089W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 199N 1106W 34 4 20(24) 4(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) X(28) 24 199N 1106W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 24 199N 1106W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 199N 1128W 34 X 3( 3) 10(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) 36 199N 1128W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 199N 1128W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 200N 1155W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 48 200N 1155W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 200N 1155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 210N 1190W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 72 210N 1190W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 210N 1190W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 35 30 25 20 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN