000 FOPZ15 KNHC 220245 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM KIKO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 29 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007 0300 UTC MON OCT 22 2007 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KIKO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 2( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 197N 1086W 34 56 3(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) 12 197N 1086W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 12 197N 1086W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 199N 1100W 34 5 11(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) 24 199N 1100W 50 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 199N 1100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 200N 1118W 34 X 3( 3) 7(10) 2(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) 36 200N 1118W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 200N 1118W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 202N 1140W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) 48 202N 1140W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 202N 1140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 215N 1180W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 72 215N 1180W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 215N 1180W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 230N 1215W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 96 230N 1215W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 230N 1215W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 30 25 25 20 20 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BROWN