000 FOPZ15 KNHC 160241 PWSEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP152007 0300 UTC TUE OCT 16 2007 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 147N 1090W 34 19 16(35) 5(40) 4(44) 3(47) X(47) X(47) 12 147N 1090W 50 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 12 147N 1090W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 145N 1085W 34 11 23(34) 5(39) 5(44) 2(46) 1(47) X(47) 24 145N 1085W 50 X 5( 5) 1( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) 24 145N 1085W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 148N 1082W 34 6 21(27) 7(34) 6(40) 2(42) 2(44) X(44) 36 148N 1082W 50 X 4( 4) 2( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) 36 148N 1082W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 149N 1085W 34 9 22(31) 6(37) 5(42) 2(44) 1(45) 1(46) 48 149N 1085W 50 1 3( 4) 2( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) 48 149N 1085W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 152N 1090W 34 11 15(26) 4(30) 8(38) 1(39) 2(41) X(41) 72 152N 1090W 50 X 3( 3) 2( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 72 152N 1090W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 96 155N 1095W 34 5 8(13) 5(18) 9(27) 3(30) 2(32) X(32) 96 155N 1095W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 96 155N 1095W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 120 155N 1100W 34 3 4( 7) 5(12) 7(19) 4(23) 2(25) X(25) 120 155N 1100W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 120 155N 1100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 35 35 35 35 35 35 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN