000 FOPZ15 KNHC 021443 PWSEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GIL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102007 1500 UTC SUN SEP 02 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GIL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 20 KTS...25 MPH...35 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 200N 1251W 34 3 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 12 200N 1251W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 12 200N 1251W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 203N 1265W 34 X 6( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 24 203N 1265W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 203N 1265W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 205N 1280W 34 X 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 36 205N 1280W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 205N 1280W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 205N 1295W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 48 205N 1295W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 205N 1295W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 20 20 15 15 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER MUNDELL/PASCH