000 FOPZ15 KNHC 012033 PWSEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GIL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102007 2100 UTC SAT SEP 01 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GIL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 121.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 193N 1228W 34 5 4( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 12 193N 1228W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 12 193N 1228W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 196N 1245W 34 X 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 24 196N 1245W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 196N 1245W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 199N 1261W 34 X 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) 36 199N 1261W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 199N 1261W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 202N 1278W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 3(10) X(10) X(10) 48 202N 1278W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 202N 1278W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 202N 1310W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 72 202N 1310W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 202N 1310W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 25 20 20 20 20 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE