000 FOPZ15 KNHC 011424 PWSEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION GIL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102007 1500 UTC SAT SEP 01 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION GIL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 120.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 190N 1219W 34 5 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 12 190N 1219W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12 190N 1219W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 193N 1238W 34 1 5( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) 24 193N 1238W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 193N 1238W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 196N 1256W 34 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 2( 9) 1(10) 1(11) X(11) 36 196N 1256W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 196N 1256W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 199N 1273W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) 48 199N 1273W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 199N 1273W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 205N 1305W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) 72 205N 1305W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 205N 1305W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 205N 1340W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 96 205N 1340W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 205N 1340W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 25 20 20 20 20 20 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE