000 FOPZ15 KNHC 301430 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM GIL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102007 1500 UTC THU AUG 30 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GIL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 22 8(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) X(30) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 189N 1145W 34 32 5(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) 12 189N 1145W 50 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 12 189N 1145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 187N 1167W 34 1 16(17) 6(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) 24 187N 1167W 50 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 24 187N 1167W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 185N 1189W 34 X 2( 2) 13(15) 6(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) 36 185N 1189W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 36 185N 1189W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 184N 1212W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 9(13) 5(18) X(18) X(18) 48 184N 1212W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 184N 1212W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 185N 1255W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) X(10) 72 185N 1255W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 185N 1255W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 190N 1300W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 96 190N 1300W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 190N 1300W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 30 30 30 25 20 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE