000 FOPZ15 KNHC 300847 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM GIL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102007 0900 UTC THU AUG 30 2007 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GIL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA CLARION 34 20 4(24) 1(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 194N 1146W 34 53 8(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) 12 194N 1146W 50 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 12 194N 1146W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 194N 1168W 34 1 28(29) 6(35) X(35) 1(36) X(36) X(36) 24 194N 1168W 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 24 194N 1168W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 192N 1190W 34 X 3( 3) 14(17) 4(21) 1(22) X(22) X(22) 36 192N 1190W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 36 192N 1190W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 189N 1210W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 5(17) X(17) X(17) 48 189N 1210W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 189N 1210W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 185N 1250W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 72 185N 1250W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 185N 1250W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 35 30 30 25 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER MAINELLI