000 FOPZ15 KNHC 292030 PWSEP5 TROPICAL STORM GIL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102007 2100 UTC WED AUG 29 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GIL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.5 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 5 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) ISLA CLARION 34 X 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 201N 1121W 34 50 9(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) 12 201N 1121W 50 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 12 201N 1121W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 204N 1143W 34 1 35(36) 6(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) 24 204N 1143W 50 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 24 204N 1143W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 205N 1165W 34 X 5( 5) 17(22) 4(26) 1(27) X(27) X(27) 36 205N 1165W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 36 205N 1165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 202N 1185W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 8(13) 4(17) X(17) X(17) 48 202N 1185W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 202N 1185W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 195N 1225W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 72 195N 1225W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 195N 1225W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 40 35 30 25 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE