000 FOPZ15 KNHC 291441 PWSEP5 TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP102007 1500 UTC WED AUG 29 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 13 6(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) ISLA CLARION 34 X 2( 2) 4( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 198N 1106W 34 44 11(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) X(55) 12 198N 1106W 50 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 12 198N 1106W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 202N 1128W 34 1 32(33) 6(39) X(39) 1(40) X(40) X(40) 24 202N 1128W 50 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 24 202N 1128W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 205N 1150W 34 X 4( 4) 17(21) 4(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) 36 205N 1150W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 36 205N 1150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 205N 1170W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 7(12) 4(16) X(16) X(16) 48 205N 1170W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 205N 1170W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 72 200N 1210W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 72 200N 1210W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 200N 1210W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 40 35 30 25 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE