485 FOPZ14 KNHC 301449 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM PILAR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 8 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192023 1500 UTC MON OCT 30 2023 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM PILAR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 91.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 105W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 10N 100W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) 10N 95W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 11(13) 1(14) P SAN JOSE 34 1 2( 3) 5( 8) 6(14) 5(19) X(19) X(19) 10N 90W 34 20 9(29) 4(33) 4(37) 6(43) X(43) X(43) 10N 90W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN SALVADOR 34 X 2( 2) 6( 8) 10(18) 2(20) X(20) X(20) PUERTO CUTUCO 34 1 4( 5) 16(21) 10(31) 2(33) X(33) X(33) PUERTO CUTUCO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) AMAPALA 34 1 4( 5) 15(20) 9(29) 2(31) X(31) X(31) AMAPALA 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CHOLUTECA 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MANAGUA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CABO BLANCO 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BLAKE