000 FOPZ14 KNHC 200853 PWSEP4 HURRICANE HILARY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092023 0900 UTC SUN AUG 20 2023 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT OXNARD CA 34 3 5( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SANTA CRUZ IS 34 3 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) LONG BEACH/LA 34 8 13(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) S CATALINA IS 34 10 13(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) X(23) SAN DIEGO CA 34 34 31(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) X(65) SAN DIEGO CA 50 X 14(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) SAN DIEGO CA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) YUMA AZ 34 17 15(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) X(32) TIJUANA 34 32 54(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) X(86) TIJUANA 50 X 9( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) TIJUANA 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) ENSENADA 34 72 15(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) ENSENADA 50 7 38(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) ENSENADA 64 X 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) IS GUADALUPE 34 20 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) PUNTA EUGENIA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PUNTA EUGENIA 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PUNTA EUGENIA 64 95 X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) P ABREOJOS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LORETO 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) P PENASCO 34 39 X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) X(39) BAHIA KINO 34 17 X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) GUAYMAS 34 4 X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 25N 115W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 30N 120W 34 7 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) $$ FORECASTER PASCH