434 FOPZ14 KNHC 192043 PWSEP4 HURRICANE HILARY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092023 2100 UTC SAT AUG 19 2023 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 114.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT OXNARD CA 34 X 4( 4) 4( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SANTA CRUZ IS 34 X 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LONG BEACH/LA 34 X 6( 6) 16(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) S CATALINA IS 34 X 9( 9) 13(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) SAN DIEGO CA 34 X 23(23) 37(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) SAN DIEGO CA 50 X X( X) 10(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) SAN DIEGO CA 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) YUMA AZ 34 X 5( 5) 9(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) TIJUANA 34 X 14(14) 42(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) TIJUANA 50 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ENSENADA 34 X 58(58) 19(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) ENSENADA 50 X 6( 6) 18(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) ENSENADA 64 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) IS GUADALUPE 34 5 16(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) PUNTA EUGENIA 34 84 16(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PUNTA EUGENIA 50 5 83(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) PUNTA EUGENIA 64 X 47(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) P ABREOJOS 34 99 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) P ABREOJOS 50 18 2(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) P ABREOJOS 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SAN JOSE CABO 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LA PAZ 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LORETO 34 41 X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) X(41) P PENASCO 34 2 27(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) HERMOSILLO 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BAHIA KINO 34 19 6(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) GUAYMAS 34 11 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) 25N 115W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 25N 115W 50 85 X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) 25N 115W 64 25 X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) 25N 120W 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 30N 120W 34 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI