000 FOPZ14 KNHC 182046 PWSEP4 HURRICANE HILARY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092023 2100 UTC FRI AUG 18 2023 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE HILARY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT OXNARD CA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) X(15) X(15) SANTA CRUZ IS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) LONG BEACH/LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 25(27) X(27) X(27) LONG BEACH/LA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) LONG BEACH/LA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) S CATALINA IS 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 24(27) X(27) X(27) S CATALINA IS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6) S CATALINA IS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) SAN DIEGO CA 34 X X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 43(50) X(50) X(50) SAN DIEGO CA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) X(11) X(11) SAN DIEGO CA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) YUMA AZ 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) X( 6) TIJUANA 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 33(35) X(35) X(35) TIJUANA 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ENSENADA 34 X X( X) X( X) 19(19) 42(61) X(61) X(61) ENSENADA 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) X(17) X(17) ENSENADA 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) IS GUADALUPE 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 17(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23) IS GUADALUPE 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) PUNTA EUGENIA 34 X 1( 1) 37(38) 52(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) PUNTA EUGENIA 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 46(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) PUNTA EUGENIA 64 X X( X) X( X) 21(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) P ABREOJOS 34 X 5( 5) 58(63) 11(74) X(74) X(74) X(74) P ABREOJOS 50 X X( X) 9( 9) 10(19) X(19) X(19) X(19) P ABREOJOS 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 6 5(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) SAN JOSE CABO 34 5 4( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) LA PAZ 34 3 8(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) LORETO 34 X 6( 6) 10(16) 2(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) P PENASCO 34 X X( X) X( X) 14(14) 4(18) X(18) X(18) BAHIA KINO 34 X X( X) 7( 7) 6(13) 1(14) X(14) X(14) GUAYMAS 34 X X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 20N 110W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ISLA SOCORRO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ISLA SOCORRO 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ISLA CLARION 34 13 3(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) 20N 115W 34 49 4(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) 20N 115W 50 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 115W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 25N 115W 34 1 29(30) 65(95) 1(96) X(96) X(96) X(96) 25N 115W 50 X 2( 2) 73(75) 3(78) X(78) X(78) X(78) 25N 115W 64 X X( X) 46(46) 3(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) 25N 120W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 30N 120W 34 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) $$ FORECASTER CANGIALOSI