000 FOPZ14 KNHC 222053 PWSEP4 HURRICANE ROSLYN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP192022 2100 UTC SAT OCT 22 2022 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ROSLYN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CULIACAN 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) ISLAS MARIAS 34 52 33(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) ISLAS MARIAS 50 6 31(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) ISLAS MARIAS 64 2 13(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) MAZATLAN 34 1 19(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) SAN BLAS 34 8 90(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) SAN BLAS 50 X 71(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) X(71) SAN BLAS 64 X 31(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) P VALLARTA 34 59 24(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) X(83) P VALLARTA 50 4 13(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) P VALLARTA 64 1 4( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 3 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) MANZANILLO 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER BEVEN