340 FOPZ14 KNHC 022040 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042022 2100 UTC SAT JUL 02 2022 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BONNIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 105W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) 15N 105W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 42(42) 26(68) X(68) 15N 105W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 19(32) 1(33) 15N 105W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 9(14) X(14) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) 1(10) L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 1(15) X(15) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 2(16) X(16) 10N 100W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 15N 100W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 50(68) X(68) X(68) 15N 100W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 28(31) X(31) X(31) 15N 100W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) X(12) X(12) ACAPULCO 34 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 13(18) 1(19) X(19) ACAPULCO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) P MALDONADO 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) P ANGEL 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) HUATULCO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 10N 95W 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 15N 95W 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 5(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) P SAN JOSE 34 1 3( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 10N 90W 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) CLIPPERTON IS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 10N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 15N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 28(28) 22(50) 15N 110W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) 15N 110W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 7(10) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 18(25) ISLA SOCORRO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) ISLA SOCORRO 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) ISLA CLARION 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15(16) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 14(15) 15N 115W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 115W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) $$ FORECASTER HOGSETT