869 FOPZ14 KNHC 180839 PWSEP4 HURRICANE LANE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142018 0900 UTC SAT AUG 18 2018 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LANE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 137.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 140W 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 140W 34 1 6( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 10N 145W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 3( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 15N 145W 34 X 1( 1) 27(28) 51(79) 5(84) X(84) X(84) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) 4( 4) 36(40) 6(46) X(46) X(46) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 4(23) X(23) X(23) 10N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 3( 7) X( 7) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 63(66) 16(82) X(82) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 32(32) 16(48) X(48) 15N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 16(16) 15(31) X(31) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 22(26) 4(30) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 29(30) 25(55) 15N 155W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 14(22) 15N 155W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 5( 8) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) BRADSHAW AAF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 17(23) 18N 156W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 18N 156W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 11(16) SOUTH POINT 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) 21N 158W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) BUOY 51002 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18(21) BUOY 51002 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) BUOY 51002 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 15N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) BUOY 51003 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER AVILA