000 FOPZ14 KNHC 292030 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142007 2100 UTC SAT SEP 29 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JULIETTE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) ISLA CLARION 34 3 33(36) 3(39) X(39) X(39) 1(40) X(40) ISLA CLARION 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 177N 1130W 34 45 19(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) 12 177N 1130W 50 3 3( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 12 177N 1130W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 194N 1140W 34 1 45(46) 11(57) X(57) 1(58) X(58) X(58) 24 194N 1140W 50 X 8( 8) 4(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) 24 194N 1140W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 209N 1151W 34 X 11(11) 26(37) 5(42) 1(43) X(43) X(43) 36 209N 1151W 50 X 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 36 209N 1151W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 48 215N 1160W 34 X 4( 4) 19(23) 7(30) 3(33) X(33) X(33) 48 215N 1160W 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 2( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 48 215N 1160W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 217N 1170W 34 X 2( 2) 9(11) 8(19) 4(23) 1(24) X(24) 72 217N 1170W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 72 217N 1170W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 217N 1180W 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 6(10) 4(14) 1(15) X(15) 96 217N 1180W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 96 217N 1180W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 40 45 45 40 30 25 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BERG/AVILA