000 FOPZ14 KNHC 290859 PWSEP4 TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP142007 0900 UTC SAT SEP 29 2007 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 15.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) ISLA CLARION 34 X 5( 5) 23(28) 11(39) 3(42) X(42) X(42) ISLA CLARION 50 X X( X) 5( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) ISLA CLARION 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 156N 1125W 34 32 16(48) 2(50) 1(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) 12 156N 1125W 50 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 12 156N 1125W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 166N 1136W 34 3 33(36) 11(47) 2(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) 24 166N 1136W 50 X 6( 6) 4(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 24 166N 1136W 64 X 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 178N 1142W 34 X 11(11) 26(37) 7(44) 1(45) 1(46) X(46) 36 178N 1142W 50 X 1( 1) 6( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) 36 178N 1142W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 190N 1148W 34 X 2( 2) 17(19) 13(32) 4(36) 1(37) X(37) 48 190N 1148W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 6( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 48 190N 1148W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 72 200N 1155W 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 13(19) 6(25) 1(26) X(26) 72 200N 1155W 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 72 200N 1155W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 205N 1160W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 9(12) 6(18) 1(19) X(19) 96 205N 1160W 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) 96 205N 1160W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 120 210N 1165W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 6(13) X(13) 1(14) 120 210N 1165W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 120 210N 1165W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 40 45 45 35 25 20 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER KNABB