000 FOPZ14 KNHC 092032 PWSEP4 TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP092007 2100 UTC THU AUG 09 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 12.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 132.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 10N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 18(20) 10(30) 1(31) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) BUOY 50004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 128N 1343W 34 85 9(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) X(94) 12 128N 1343W 50 25 19(44) 1(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) X(45) 12 128N 1343W 64 7 4(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) 24 130N 1363W 34 2 67(69) 12(81) 1(82) X(82) X(82) X(82) 24 130N 1363W 50 X 24(24) 13(37) 1(38) X(38) X(38) X(38) 24 130N 1363W 64 X 9( 9) 5(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) 36 133N 1384W 34 1 10(11) 47(58) 11(69) 3(72) X(72) X(72) 36 133N 1384W 50 X 1( 1) 18(19) 8(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) 36 133N 1384W 64 X X( X) 7( 7) 3(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) 48 136N 1404W 34 X 1( 1) 18(19) 27(46) 12(58) X(58) X(58) 48 136N 1404W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) 6(20) X(20) X(20) 48 136N 1404W 64 X X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 72 145N 1445W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 22(25) 8(33) X(33) 72 145N 1445W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) 72 145N 1445W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 96 155N 1490W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) 3(16) 96 155N 1490W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 96 155N 1490W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 165N 1530W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 4( 7) 120 165N 1530W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 120 165N 1530W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 60 65 65 65 55 50 45 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER FRANKLIN