000 FOPZ13 KNHC 170832 PWSEP3 TROPICAL STORM CALVIN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP032023 0900 UTC MON JUL 17 2023 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CALVIN WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 139.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 20N 150W 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 17(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 7( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10) X(10) X(10) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 12(14) X(14) X(14) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 20N 160W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER KELLY/CANGIALOSI