000 FOPZ13 KNHC 191647 PWSEP3 TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1...CORRECTED NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP132007 1700 UTC WED SEP 19 2007 ...CORRECTED FOR 30 KT INITIAL INTENSITY.... AT 1700Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION THIRTEEN-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 127.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ...THERE ARE NO LOCATIONS WITH TOTAL ACCUMLATED 5 DAY PROBABILITIES GREATER THAN 2 PERCENT... - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 172N 1285W 34 18 12(30) 4(34) 2(36) 2(38) X(38) X(38) 12 172N 1285W 50 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 1( 6) 12 172N 1285W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 172N 1292W 34 7 20(27) 6(33) 4(37) 1(38) X(38) 1(39) 24 172N 1292W 50 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 24 172N 1292W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 36 172N 1299W 34 2 14(16) 10(26) 5(31) 1(32) 1(33) X(33) 36 172N 1299W 50 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 36 172N 1299W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 175N 1299W 34 2 14(16) 9(25) 4(29) 3(32) X(32) 1(33) 48 175N 1299W 50 X 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 48 175N 1299W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 185N 1286W 34 3 7(10) 3(13) 3(16) 4(20) 1(21) 1(22) 72 185N 1286W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) 72 185N 1286W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 96 195N 1275W 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 4( 8) 2(10) 1(11) 96 195N 1275W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 96 195N 1275W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 205N 1260W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 120 205N 1260W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 120 205N 1260W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 30 35 35 30 25 25 25 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER BROWN