000 FOPZ12 KNHC 212039 PWSEP2 HURRICANE NORMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172023 2100 UTC SAT OCT 21 2023 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 6 X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) SAN JOSE CABO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAN JOSE CABO 50 58 1(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) SAN JOSE CABO 64 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LA PAZ 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) LA PAZ 50 22 5(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) LA PAZ 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) LORETO 34 5 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) GUAYMAS 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 3 12(15) 2(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) CULIACAN 34 2 6( 8) 5(13) 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) ISLAS MARIAS 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MAZATLAN 34 4 3( 7) 1( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) SAN BLAS 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 110W 34 3 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) $$ FORECASTER REINHART