144 FOPZ12 KNHC 211449 PWSEP2 HURRICANE NORMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172023 1500 UTC SAT OCT 21 2023 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 80 X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) SAN JOSE CABO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAN JOSE CABO 50 84 1(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) X(85) SAN JOSE CABO 64 33 1(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) X(34) LA PAZ 34 90 5(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) LA PAZ 50 36 15(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) X(51) LA PAZ 64 1 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LORETO 34 5 5(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) GUAYMAS 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HUATABAMPO 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LOS MOCHIS 34 2 6( 8) 3(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) CULIACAN 34 2 4( 6) 7(13) 5(18) 1(19) X(19) X(19) ISLAS MARIAS 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MAZATLAN 34 4 4( 8) 3(11) 3(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) SAN BLAS 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 110W 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 25N 115W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) $$ FORECASTER REINHART