000 FOPZ12 KNHC 210835 PWSEP2 HURRICANE NORMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172023 0900 UTC SAT OCT 21 2023 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 100 KTS...115 MPH...185 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 88 7(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 55 17(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) X(72) SAN JOSE CABO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAN JOSE CABO 50 67 19(86) 1(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) X(87) SAN JOSE CABO 64 20 35(55) X(55) X(55) 1(56) X(56) X(56) LA PAZ 34 69 17(86) 3(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) X(89) LA PAZ 50 4 24(28) 3(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) LA PAZ 64 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LORETO 34 3 6( 9) 4(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) GUAYMAS 34 X 4( 4) 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) HUATABAMPO 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LOS MOCHIS 34 2 5( 7) 4(11) 1(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13) CULIACAN 34 2 5( 7) 9(16) 6(22) 4(26) X(26) X(26) ISLAS MARIAS 34 3 4( 7) 4(11) 1(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) MAZATLAN 34 4 6(10) 8(18) 3(21) 2(23) X(23) X(23) SAN BLAS 34 2 3( 5) 3( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 20N 110W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ISLA SOCORRO 34 2 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) $$ FORECASTER ROBERTS