992 FOPZ12 KNHC 210245 PWSEP2 HURRICANE NORMA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 14 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172023 0300 UTC SAT OCT 21 2023 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NORMA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 109.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 105 KTS...120 MPH...195 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z SAT AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT P ABREOJOS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) CABO SAN LUCAS 34 94 6(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 29 57(86) 3(89) 1(90) X(90) X(90) X(90) CABO SAN LUCAS 64 4 52(56) 4(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) SAN JOSE CABO 34 87 12(99) 1(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) SAN JOSE CABO 50 11 61(72) 7(79) 1(80) X(80) X(80) X(80) SAN JOSE CABO 64 2 41(43) 6(49) 1(50) X(50) X(50) X(50) LA PAZ 34 20 52(72) 7(79) 2(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) LA PAZ 50 2 15(17) 8(25) 2(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) LA PAZ 64 X 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) LORETO 34 2 6( 8) 3(11) 2(13) X(13) X(13) X(13) GUAYMAS 34 X 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) HUATABAMPO 34 1 2( 3) 1( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) LOS MOCHIS 34 2 3( 5) 3( 8) 2(10) 1(11) X(11) X(11) CULIACAN 34 2 3( 5) 5(10) 7(17) 6(23) X(23) X(23) ISLAS MARIAS 34 4 4( 8) 3(11) 1(12) 2(14) X(14) X(14) MAZATLAN 34 3 7(10) 5(15) 7(22) 5(27) X(27) X(27) SAN BLAS 34 2 3( 5) 2( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) P VALLARTA 34 1 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 110W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 20N 110W 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ISLA SOCORRO 34 3 3( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) $$ FORECASTER KELLY