000 FOPZ12 KNHC 290258 PWSEP2 POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO-E WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022023 0300 UTC THU JUN 29 2023 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO-E WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 96.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 25 KTS...30 MPH...45 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 15(20) 2(22) CABO SAN LUCAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) SAN JOSE CABO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 14(19) 2(21) SAN JOSE CABO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) LA PAZ 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 7( 8) 2(10) ISLAS MARIAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 32(33) 4(37) X(37) ISLAS MARIAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) X(11) ISLAS MARIAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) MAZATLAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) SAN BLAS 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 16(17) 1(18) X(18) P VALLARTA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 1(12) X(12) 15N 105W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20(23) X(23) 1(24) BARRA NAVIDAD 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) MANZANILLO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 26(44) 1(45) X(45) MANZANILLO 50 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 11(13) X(13) X(13) MANZANILLO 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) L CARDENAS 34 X X( X) 11(11) 18(29) 1(30) X(30) X(30) L CARDENAS 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ZIHUATANEJO 34 X 1( 1) 14(15) 8(23) 1(24) X(24) X(24) ZIHUATANEJO 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 100W 34 X 24(24) 3(27) X(27) 1(28) X(28) X(28) 15N 100W 50 X 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ACAPULCO 34 X 4( 4) 5( 9) X( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) P MALDONADO 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 20N 110W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 7(15) 1(16) ISLA SOCORRO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) X( 6) $$ FORECASTER BUCCI/PASCH