000 FOPZ12 KNHC 090251 PWSEP2 TROPICAL STORM KAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122022 0300 UTC FRI SEP 09 2022 AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM KAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 115.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT OXNARD CA 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) SANTA CRUZ IS 34 X 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) LONG BEACH/LA 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) S CATALINA IS 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) SAN DIEGO CA 34 1 4( 5) 1( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) TIJUANA 34 2 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) ENSENADA 34 5 11(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) IS GUADALUPE 34 3 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) PUNTA EUGENIA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) PUNTA EUGENIA 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) P ABREOJOS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) P PENASCO 34 4 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) BAHIA KINO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) 30N 120W 34 1 1( 2) 2( 4) 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) 1( 9) $$ FORECASTER PASCH