695 FOPZ12 KNHC 242038 PWSEP2 HURRICANE RICK WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP172021 2100 UTC SUN OCT 24 2021 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE RICK WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 101.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 105W 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) BARRA NAVIDAD 34 X 3( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) MANZANILLO 34 2 7( 9) 6(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) MANZANILLO 50 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) MANZANILLO 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) L CARDENAS 34 75 23(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) L CARDENAS 50 12 60(72) 1(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) X(73) L CARDENAS 64 2 22(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) X(24) ZIHUATANEJO 34 87 8(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) ZIHUATANEJO 50 25 17(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) X(42) ZIHUATANEJO 64 3 7(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) X(10) 15N 100W 34 2 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) ACAPULCO 34 4 2( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) $$ FORECASTER LATTO