000 FOPZ12 KNHC 021453 PWSEP2 TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 21 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072019 1500 UTC FRI AUG 02 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 137.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 60 KTS...70 MPH...110 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 140W 34 4 2( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6) 20N 140W 34 10 6(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) 15N 145W 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) 20N 145W 34 X 6( 6) 39(45) 4(49) X(49) X(49) X(49) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) 6( 6) 3( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 25(32) X(32) X(32) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 22(25) 1(26) X(26) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) 20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 5(11) X(11) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) X( 7) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) X( 6) LANAI CITY 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) KAUNAKAKAI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4) 26N 159W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY/RAMOS