709 FOPZ12 KNHC 311436 PWSEP2 HURRICANE FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072019 1500 UTC WED JUL 31 2019 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 14.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 125.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65 KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 125W 34 30 1(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) X(31) 15N 130W 34 3 77(80) 8(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) 15N 130W 50 X 42(42) 11(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) X(53) 15N 130W 64 X 11(11) 3(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) X(14) 20N 130W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 135W 34 X 1( 1) 12(13) 41(54) 3(57) X(57) X(57) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) 20(20) 2(22) X(22) X(22) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 5( 7) 2( 9) X( 9) X( 9) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 33(36) 2(38) X(38) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 10(10) 1(11) X(11) 15N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18) 3(21) X(21) 20N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 21(24) 2(26) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 28(30) 2(32) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 2(11) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 11(15) 15N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 32(39) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 33(36) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 20N 151W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 22(23) BUOY 51004 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) BUOY 51004 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 13(13) 15N 155W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) HILO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 18N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) SOUTH POINT 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 21N 156W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) KAILUA-KONA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) HANA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) $$ FORECASTER ZELINSKY