000 FOPZ12 KNHC 310838 PWSEP2 HURRICANE FLOSSIE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072019 0900 UTC WED JUL 31 2019 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE FLOSSIE WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 13.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 124.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70 KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H. Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT. PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY 64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT. - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT 15N 125W 34 56 1(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) X(57) 15N 130W 34 2 48(50) 45(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) 15N 130W 50 X 6( 6) 71(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) X(77) 15N 130W 64 X 1( 1) 44(45) 1(46) X(46) X(46) X(46) 20N 130W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 15N 135W 34 X X( X) 5( 5) 46(51) 15(66) X(66) X(66) 15N 135W 50 X X( X) X( X) 13(13) 15(28) X(28) X(28) 15N 135W 64 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 8(11) X(11) X(11) 20N 135W 34 X X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11) X(11) X(11) 15N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 31(31) 6(37) X(37) 15N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 4(11) X(11) 15N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) X( 5) 20N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 18(18) 9(27) X(27) 20N 140W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) 20N 140W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) X( 2) 15N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 18(19) 4(23) 15N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 2( 6) 15N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 20N 145W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 29(30) 8(38) 20N 145W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 8( 8) 4(12) 20N 145W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 15N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 13(14) 20N 150W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 26(28) 20N 150W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 20N 150W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 20N 151W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 21(22) 20N 151W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) BUOY 51004 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 12(12) 20N 154W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 5( 5) $$ FORECASTER BERG