000 FOPZ12 KNHC 230847 PWSEP2 TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 20 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP122007 0900 UTC SUN SEP 23 2007 AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION IVO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 22.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 06Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT CABO SAN LUCAS 34 2 4( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) SAN JOSE CABO 34 2 4( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) LA PAZ 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) CULICAN 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED 06Z THU 06Z FRI FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 227N 1106W 34 4 3( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 12 227N 1106W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 12 227N 1106W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 233N 1097W 34 1 5( 6) 1( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) 24 233N 1097W 50 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 233N 1097W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 36 239N 1090W 34 X 4( 4) 1( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 36 239N 1090W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 239N 1090W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 48 246N 1086W 34 X 1( 1) 2( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 48 246N 1086W 50 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 246N 1086W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 25 20 20 20 0 0 0 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER RHOME