000 FOPZ12 KNHC 252032 PWSEP2 TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072007 2100 UTC WED JUL 25 2007 AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 18Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 208N 1133W 34 29 17(46) X(46) 1(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) 12 208N 1133W 50 2 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 12 208N 1133W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 24 217N 1147W 34 2 17(19) 9(28) 1(29) X(29) X(29) X(29) 24 217N 1147W 50 X 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 24 217N 1147W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 223N 1162W 34 X 4( 4) 12(16) 5(21) X(21) 1(22) X(22) 36 223N 1162W 50 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 36 223N 1162W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 230N 1179W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 3(15) X(15) X(15) 48 230N 1179W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) 48 230N 1179W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 240N 1205W 34 X X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 4( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 72 240N 1205W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) 72 240N 1205W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 240N 1230W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 96 240N 1230W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 96 240N 1230W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 240N 1250W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) 120 240N 1250W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 240N 1250W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 35 30 30 25 20 20 20 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER LANDSEA/AVILA