000 FOPZ12 KNHC 251434 PWSEP2 TROPICAL STORM DALILA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15 NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP072007 1500 UTC WED JUL 25 2007 AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM DALILA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 111.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/HR. CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KPH)... ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KPH)... ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KPH)... FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS IP(CP) WHERE IP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (INDIVIDUAL PROBABILITY) (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN 12Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY) PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 0.5 PERCENT LOCATIONS SHOWN WHEN THEIR TOTAL CUMULATED 5-DAY PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 2.5 PERCENT Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH) PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - LOCATION KT ISLA SOCORRO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) ISLA CLARION 34 2 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR FORECAST POSITIONS - - - - FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM TIME 12Z WED 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO 00Z THU 12Z THU 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 12Z SAT 12Z SUN 12Z MON FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - HR POSITIONS KT 12 206N 1129W 34 51 23(74) 1(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) 12 206N 1129W 50 8 3(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) 12 206N 1129W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 24 215N 1140W 34 5 27(32) 11(43) 1(44) X(44) X(44) X(44) 24 215N 1140W 50 X 5( 5) 2( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) 24 215N 1140W 64 X 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 36 223N 1154W 34 1 5( 6) 14(20) 5(25) 1(26) X(26) X(26) 36 223N 1154W 50 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) 36 223N 1154W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 48 230N 1170W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 9(14) 3(17) 1(18) X(18) 48 230N 1170W 50 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) 48 230N 1170W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 240N 1205W 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 2( 8) X( 8) 72 240N 1205W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) 72 240N 1205W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 96 245N 1230W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) 96 245N 1230W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 96 245N 1230W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 245N 1255W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) 2( 3) 120 245N 1255W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 120 245N 1255W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) - - - - FORECAST INTENSITIES - - - - FCST MAX WIND 45 40 35 30 25 20 20 FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120) $$ FORECASTER AVILA